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6 Trends That Could Rattle Your Retirement

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34538076_sBoomers are getting older, fatter and more likely to live in Florida. They are less likely to be poor and more likely to hold a job past age 65 than any other U.S. generation since the end of World War II.

“In the 70, 80s and 90s, families experienced a lot of changes in structure. There was an increase in divorce, in cohabitation and in families headed by single parents. Now, it seems like all the turmoil is catching up with baby boomers just as they reach retirement age,” says Mark Mather, a demographer and an associate vice president of U.S. Programs at the nonprofit Population Reference Bureau, or PRB.

The PRB analyzes complex demographic data so it can be used by advocates, journalists and decision makers. Mather, along with a team of others, recently prepared a report on the “implications of all these baby boomers who are starting to retire.” He says that it is “one of the most important trends underway in the U.S.”

As we go full tilt into 2016, a year devoted to electing a new president, here are some demographic trends to look out for before they hit you head on.

He’s married; she’s not. 72% of men ages 65 and older are married, compared with 48% of women the same age. That means more women live alone on lower incomes.

Downside of homeownership. 78% of people 65 and older own their homes, but many of them can’t afford it. More than a quarter of these homeowners spend 30% or more of their income on housing expenses. That cuts into the budget for food, transportation and medical expenses. “It is a good reason to move to a lower cost area when you retire — so you can have a home with less money,” Mather says.

Working past 65 is a privilege. Men ages 65 to 74 with at least a bachelor’s degree are more than twice as likely to be on the job compared to men with less than a high-school diploma, and college-educated women of the same age are 3 times as likely to be employed compared to women who didn’t graduate from high school. “Blue-collar workers can’t always work until age 65 because they are more likely to have health issues. So they retire at age 60, or even younger, which leads to lower income in the long run,” Mather says.

No one to take care of grandma. 3 trends — fewer young people, higher health care expenses and longer but potentially less healthy lives because of lousy health habits — could add up to a crisis. “What was most striking to us were the implications for caregiving,” Mather says. “Caregiving is going to be an issue for lots of people in retirement. They will have to get care from someplace. It’s less likely to come from family members because there are fewer of them available than there were in earlier decades. And many people don’t have enough money to pay for professional care.”

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